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Situation Appraisal - Problem Analysis

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Situation Appraisal - Problem Analysis

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SITUATION APPRAISAL

(Operations Management)

1. Identify Concerns

 Identify the theme


o Set the scope of the appraisal.
 What are the primary areas of concern?

 List concerns
o Identify concerns related to the theme.
 What deviations, decisions, plans, changes, threats, opportunities need our attention?

 Separate and clarify concerns


o Ensure each concern is clear and specific.
o Keep a concern ‘as is’ if already clear.
o To separate:

 What issues are a part of this concern?


 Can this concern be resolved by a single analysis or action?
o To clarify:
 What exactly do we mean by…?

 Create action statements


o List statements that show the action needed.
 Is the action about a deviation, choice, threat, opportunity, or just getting something
done?

2. Set Priority

 Use knowledge and experience OR…


o List the order based on judgement.
o Use * to indicate highest priority. Set the scope of the appraisal.
 Which concerns should we work on first?
 What is the order of the remaining concerns?

 ...Use current impact, future impact, and time frame


o Record factual supporting data.
o First, vertically assess relative current impact, then future impact and time frame.
o Mark High, Medium, or Low. Refine using +/-.
o Second, assess combinations horizontally to determine overall priority.

o Mark High, Medium, or Low. Refine using +/-.


 What is the current impact on employees, safety, cost, customers, productivity,
reputation? What evidence?
 What is the future impact? What evidence?
 What is the time frame? What evidence?

3. Plan Next Steps


 Determine resolution approach
o Identify the steps or actions needed.
 What analytic process is required for resolution?
PA = Deviation? Cause unknown? Need to know cause?
DA = Choice?
PPA = Action or plan to protect?
POA = Action or plan to enhance?
SA = Further clarification?
No analysis = just do it!

 How much is needed?


o Record what you will do.

4. Plan Involvement
 Determine help needed
o Consider who needs to be involved for a superior solution, information, analysis,
commitment, implementation,
 Who needs to do what and by when?

PROBLEM ANALYSIS

1. Describe Problem

 State the problem


o List the object and the deviation.
 What object (or group of objects) has the deviation?
 What deviation does it have?
 What tells us a deviation exists? (senses, measures)
 Specify the problem
o Describe as completely, factually as possible.

IS IS NOT
WHAT  What specific object(s) has the deviation?  What similar object(s) could have the deviation,
 What is the specific deviation? but does not?
 What other deviations could be observed, but
are not?

WHERE  Where is the object when the deviation is  Where else could the object be when the
observed (geographically)? deviation is observed, but is not?
 Where is the deviation on the object?  Where else could the deviation be located on
the object, but is not?

WHEN  When was the deviation observed first (in  When else could the deviation have been
clock and calendar time)? observed first, but was not?
 When since that time has the deviation  When since that time could the deviation have
been observed? What pattern? # been observed, but was not? What could be the
 When, in the object’s history or life cycle, pattern?
was the deviation observed first?  When else, in the object’s history or life cycle,
could the deviation have been observed first,
but was not?

EXTENT  How many objects have the deviation?  How many objects could, but do not?
 What is the trend * in the number of  What could be the trend, * but is not?
objects with the deviation?  What could be the size, but is not?
 What is the size of a single deviation?  What could be the trend, * but is not?
 What is the trend * in the size?  How many instances could be on each object,
 How many instances of the deviation are on but are not?
each object?  What could be the trend * in the number of
 What is the trend * in the number of instances, but is not?
instances?

# Pattern = continuous, periodic, sporadic, single occurrence


* Trend = increasing, decreasing, stable

2. Identify Possible Causes


 Use knowledge and experience OR…
o Explain how the cause creates the deviation.
o Use object + deviation format.
 What could have caused the deviation?

 ...Use distinctions and changes


o Record data, new and true, only of the IS.
 What is different, odd, special, or unique about each IS compared to its IS NOT?
 What changed in, on, around, or about each distinction? When?
 How could the distinctions and changes cause the deviation?

3. Evaluate Possible Causes


 Test possible causes against the IS/IS NOT
o Eliminate causes that cannot be explained.
 If (possible cause) is the cause of (problem), then how does it explain both IS and IS
NOT?
 What assumptions must be made?

 Determine most probable cause


o Pick the one with the fewest assumptions.
 Which possible cause best explains the IS and IS NOT information?

4. Confirm True Cause


 Verify assumptions, observe, experiment, or try a fix and monitor
o Pick the safest, easiest, quickest, cheapest, surest way to prove true cause.
 What can be done to confirm true cause?
Appraise

1
Situation To clarify, prioritize and qualify
Appraisal the problem

KT
Specify
2
Clear To gather facts
Thinking
Process

List causes

3
Problem
To test theories
Analysis

Confirm & take action


To eliminate false causes

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