The document discusses various techniques for managing foreign exchange risk arising from international business transactions and foreign currency exposures. It describes transaction risk and how forward hedging, money market hedging, and options can be used to hedge transaction risk. It also discusses operating risk management, including assessing risk, implementing controls, and avoiding or mitigating risk. Translation exposure relating to foreign assets and liabilities in financial statements is also covered.
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Week 5 - Managing Risk
The document discusses various techniques for managing foreign exchange risk arising from international business transactions and foreign currency exposures. It describes transaction risk and how forward hedging, money market hedging, and options can be used to hedge transaction risk. It also discusses operating risk management, including assessing risk, implementing controls, and avoiding or mitigating risk. Translation exposure relating to foreign assets and liabilities in financial statements is also covered.
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MANAGEMENT OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE
AND RISK MANGEMENT
INTRODUCTION Business firm engaged in international business experience foreign exchange exposure and risk. It may be recalled that foreign exchange exposure is a sensitivity of the value of assets , liabilities and cash flow of a firm to change in exchange rate of currencies. The variability in the value of assets , liabilities and cash flows induced by such exposure is referred to as foreign exchange risk. Business enterprise have to design and implement proper risk management system and methods to reduce or eliminate the risk arising from foreign exchange exposure MANAGEMENT OF TRANSACTION RISK Transaction risk refers to the variability in the home currency value of cash flow arising from transactions already completed and whose foreign currency values are contractually fixed . The variability may be significant or insignificant depending on the extent of movement of exchange rates . It is possible to neutralize the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on cash flows and thus eliminate the variability by adopting certain measure. This process of eliminating variability is known as hedging and the measure used for achieving objectives are known as hedging techniques Management of foreign exchange risk involves three important functions 1. Assessing the extent of variability and identifying whether it is likely to be favorable or adverse. 2. Deciding whether to hedge or not to hedge all or part of the exposure. 3.Choosing the optimal hedging technique to suit the situation TECHNIQUE FOR HEDGING TRANSACTION RISK A hedge is an investment that is made with the intention of reducing the risk of adverse price movements in an asset. A company that decide to hedge its transaction exposure may choose any of the following techniques: Foreword hedge Future hedge Money market hedge Currency option hedge FOREWARD HEDGE If you are going to owe foreign currency in the future (import), agree to buy the foreign currency now by entering into long position (investor owned) in a forward contract. If you are going to receive foreign currency in the future (export), agree to sell the foreign currency now by entering into short position (investor owes) in a forward contract. MONEY MARKET HEDGE This is the same idea as covered interest arbitrage. To hedge a foreign currency payable, buy a bunch of that foreign currency today and sit on it. It’s more efficient to buy the present value of the foreign currency payable today. Invest that amount at the foreign rate.
At maturity your investment will have grown
enough to cover your foreign currency payable OPTION MARKET HEDGE Options provide a flexible hedge against the downside, while preserving the upside potential. To hedge a foreign currency payable, buy calls on the currency. Call Option A call option is a contract that gives the option buyer the right to buy an underlying asset at a specified price within a specific time period. If the currency appreciates, your call option lets you buy the currency at the exercise price of the call. OPTION MARKET HEDGE To hedge a foreign currency receivable, buy puts on the currency. Put Option Put options give investors the right to sell an asset at a specified price within a predetermined time frame. If the currency depreciates, your put option lets you sell the currency for the exercise price. FUTURE HEDGE While the use of short and long hedges can reduce (or eliminate in some cases - as below) both downside and upside risk. The reduction of upside risk is certainly a limation of using futures to hedge. Short Hedges A short hedge is one where a short position is taken on a futures contract. It is typically appropriate for a hedger to use when an asset is expected to be sold in the future. Alternatively, it can be used by a speculator who anticipates that the price of a contract will decrease Long Hedges A long hedge is one where a long position is taken on a futures contract. It is typically appropriate for a hedger to use when an asset is expected to be bought in the future. Alternatively, it can be used by a speculator who anticipates that the price of a contract will increase CROSS HEDGING A risk management strategy used in limiting or offsetting probability of loss from fluctuations in the prices of commodities, currencies, or securities. In effect, hedging is a transfer of risk without buying insurance policies. Hedging employs various techniques but, basically, involves taking equal and opposite positions in two different markets (such as cash and futures markets). Hedging is used also in protecting one's capital against effects of inflation through investing in high-yield financial instruments (bonds, notes, shares), real estate, or precious metals. INTERNAL TECHNIQUES Netting Netting implies offsetting exposures in one currency with exposure in the same or another currency, where exchange rates are expected to move high in such a way that losses or gains on the first exposed position should be offset by gains or losses on the second currency exposure. Matching The netting is typically used only for inter company flows arising out of groups receipts and payments. As such, it is applicable only to the operations of a multinational company rather than exporters or importers. In contrast, matching applies to both third parties as well inter-company cash flows. It can be used by the exporter/importer as well as the multinational company. It refers to the process in which a company matches its currency inflows with its currency outflows with respect to amount and timing. Receipts generated in a particular currency are used to make payments in that currency and hence, it reduces the need to hedge foreign exchange risk exposure INTERNAL TECHNIQUES Leading and Lagging It refers to the adjustment of intercompany credit terms, leading means a prepayment of a trade obligation and lagging means a delayed payment. It is basically intercompany technique whereas netting and matching are purely defensive measures. Intercompany leading and lagging is a part of risk- minimizing strategy or an aggressive strategy that maximizes expected exchange gains. Leading and lagging requires a lot of discipline on the part of participating subsidiaries. Multinational companies which make extensive use of leading and lagging may either evaluate subsidiary performance in a pre-interest basis or include interest charges and credits to overcome evaluation problem Pricing Policy In order to manage foreign exchange risk exposure, there are two types of pricing tactics: price variation and currency of invoicing policy. One way for companies to protect themselves against exchange risk is to increase selling prices to offset the adverse effects of exchange rate fluctuations. Selling price requires the analysis of Competitive situation, Customer credibility, Price controls and Internal delays. MANAGEMENT OF OPERATING RISK The term Operational Risk Management (ORM) is defined as a continual cyclic process which includes risk assessment, risk decision making, and implementation of risk controls, which results in acceptance, mitigation, or avoidance of risk. ORM is the oversight of operational risk, including the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes and systems; human factors; or external events THREE LEVELS OF ORM In Depth In depth risk management is used before a project is implemented, when there is plenty of time to plan and prepare. Examples of in depth methods include training, drafting instructions and requirements, and acquiring personal protective equipment. Deliberate Deliberate risk management is used at routine periods through the implementation of a project or process. Examples include quality assurance, on-the-job training, safety briefs, performance reviews, and safety checks. Time Critical Time critical risk management is used during operational exercises or execution of tasks. It is defined as the effective use of all available resources by individuals, crews, and teams to safely and effectively accomplish the mission or task using risk management concepts when time and resources are limited. Examples of tools used includes execution check-lists and change management. This requires a high degree of situational awareness BENEFITS OF ORM 1. Reduction of operational loss. 2. Lower compliance/auditing costs. 3. Early detection of unlawful activities. 4. Reduced exposure to future risks MANAGING TRANSLATION EXPOSURE Translation or Accounting Exposure: Is the sensitivity of the real domestic currency value of assets and liabilities, appearing in the financial statements to unanticipated changes in exchange rates
Managers, analysts and investors need some idea about the importance of the foreign business. Translated accounting data give an approximate idea of this.
Performance measurement for bonus plans, hiring, firing, and
promotion decisions. Accounting value serves as a benchmark to evaluate a discounted- cash flow valuation. For income tax purposes. Legal requirement to consolidate financial statements