Topic 2 SCM2006 - Process Analysis - Student
Topic 2 SCM2006 - Process Analysis - Student
1
(A1) The Essence of Process Flow
• Three measures
– Flow time
– Flow rate
– inventory
• Three questions
– On average, how much time does a typical flow unit
spend within the process boundaries?
– On average, how many flow units pass through the
process per unit of time?
– On average, how many flow units are within the
process boundaries at any point in time?
2
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Flow Time
• Status of a flow unit within process
– Undergoes an activity
– Waits in a buffer to undergo an activity
• The total time spent by a flow unit within
process boundaries
• May change over time
• Flow time = throughput time + setup time +
queue time
3
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Flow Rate
• The number of flow units that flow through a
specific point in the process per unit of time
• May change over time
• Multiple points of input and output
• Instantaneous flow rate
– Flow rate at a specific point of time t
– e.g., Ri(t), Ro(t) Ri, 2(t) Total inflow rate
Ri, 1(t) + Ri, 2(t)
Process
Ri, 1(t) Ro(t)
4
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Inventory
• When inflow > outflow
• people, cash, materials, products, orders, etc.
• Process inventory at time t: I(t)
– Total number of flow units within process
boundaries at time t
– Ij(t), where Ij(t) is the inventory at jth stage in the
process]
5
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
7
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
9
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Little’s Law
Flow rate/Throughput R
Inventory I [units/hr]
... ... ... [units] ... ...
10
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
11
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Material flow
• A fast-food restaurant processes an average of
5,000 kg of hamburgers per week. Typical
inventory of raw meat in cold storage is 2,500 kg.
The process in this case is the restaurant and the
flow unit is a kg of meat. We know, therefore,
that
• R = 5,000kg/week and I = 2,500kg
• By Little Law, T = I/R = 2,500/5,000 = 0.5 weeks
• In other words, on average 1 kg of meat spends
half a week in cold storage.
12
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Customer flow
• The café Dan Drippel serves on average 60 customers
per night. A typical night is about 10 hours. At any point
in time, there are on average 18 customers in the café.
These customers are either enjoying their food and
drinks, waiting to order, or waiting for their order to
arrive. What is the average flow time for each customer?
• The flow unit is customer
• R = 60 customers/night or 6 customers/hour
• I = 18 customers
• T = I/R = 18/6 = 3 hours
• In other words, on average, each customer spends
three hours at Dan Drippel 13
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Job Flow
• A branch office of an insurance company
processes 10,000 claims per year. Average
processing time is three weeks.
• Flow unit is a claim
• R = 10,000 claims/year
• T = 3/50 year
• I = R x T = 600 claims
• In other words, on average 600 claims scatter
in various phases of processing
14
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Cash Flow
• A steel company processes $400 million of iron
per year. The cost of processing ore is $200
million per year. The average inventory is $100
million.
• R = $600 million/year
• I = $100 million
• T = I/R = 2 months
• In other words, on average, a dollar spends two
months in the process. That is, each dollar is tied
up in working capital at the factory for an average
of two months
15
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Your Turn!
Monetary Flow: For the new euro introduction in 2002, Wim Duisenberg had
to decide how many new Euro coins to stamp by 2002. Euroland’s central
banks’ cash-in-coins handling was estimated at €300 billion per year. The
average cash-in-coins holding time by consumers and businesses was
estimated at 2 months. How many Euro coins were to be made?
Customer Flow: Taco Bell processes on average 1,500 customers per day (15
hours). On average there are 75 customers in the restaurant (waiting to
place the order, waiting for the order to arrive, eating etc.). How long
does an average customer spend at Taco Bell and what is the average
customer turnover?
Job Flow: The Travelers Insurance Company processes 10,000 claims per year.
The average processing time is 3 weeks. Assuming 50 weeks in a year,
what is the average number of claims “in process”.
16
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Your Turn!
Material Flow: Wendy’s processes an average of 5,000 lb. of hamburgers per
week. The typical inventory of raw meat is 2,500 lb. What is the average
hamburger’s cycle time and Wendy’s turnover?
Cash Flow: Motorola sells $300 million worth of cellular equipment per year.
The average accounts receivable in the cellular group is $45 million.
What is the average billing to collection process cycle time?
Inventory Flow: A general manager at Baxter states that her inventory turns
three times a year. She also states that everything that Baxter buys gets
processed and leaves the docks within six weeks. Are these statements
consistent?
17
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
18
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Exercise I
• A hospital emergency room (ER) is currently organized so that all
patients register through an initial check-in process. At his or her turn,
each patient is seen by a doctor and then exists the process, either with
a prescription or with admission to the hospital.
• Currently, 50 people per hour arrive at the ER, 20% of who are admitted
to the hospital.
• On average, 5 people are waiting to the registered and 30 are registered
and waiting to see a doctor.
• The registration process takes, on average, 2 minutes per patient.
• Among patients who receive prescriptions, average time spent with a
doctor is 5 minutes.
• Among those admitted to the hospital, average time is 30 minutes.
• Assume the process to be stable; that is, average inflow rate equals
average outflow rate.
19
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Process Definition
R2 =
Potential
admits
Registration Doctor 20%
R = 50/hr
80%
Buffer 1 TR = 2 min Buffer 2 T1 = 5 min
I=5 I = 30 T2 = 30 min Simple
prescription
Tb1 = IR = Tb2 =
R1 =
20
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Exercise I
• On average, how long does a patient spend in the ER?
21
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
R2 = 50 x 20% = 10/hr
Solution Potential
admits
Registration Doctor 20%
R = 50/hr
80%
Buffer 1 TR = 2 min Buffer 2 T1 = 5 min
I=5 I = 30 T2 = 30 min Simple
prescription
Tb1 = 5/50 x 60 = IR = 50 x 2/60 = Tb2 = 30/50 x 60 =
6.0 min 1.67 patients 36.0 min
R1 = 50 x 80% = 40/hr
Average flow time for simple prescription = 6.0 + 2 + 36.0 + 5 = 49mins
Average flow time for potential admit = 74 min
22
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Solution
• On average, how long does a patient spend in the ER?
Average flow time for simple prescription = 6.0 + 2 + 36.0 + 5 = 49mins
Average flow time for potential admit = 74 min
Average flow time a patient spends in ER = 0.8 x 49.0 + 0.2 x 74.0 = 54.0 min
23
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Exercise II
Auto-Moto – Financial Application Process
• Provides financing to qualified buyers of new cars and
motorcycles.
• Receives 1,000 loan applications per month (30 days/month).
• Process each application individually.
• On average, 20% of applications received approval.
• On average, 500 applications at various stage of the
approval/rejection process.
• Problem:
– although most applications could be processed fairly quickly, some-
because of insufficient and/or unclear documentation took a
disproportionate amount of time
24
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
200/
Approved month
20%
1000/m
onth
Review
I=500
80%
800/
Rejected month
30 days/month
Assume the process is stable, and all the figures in the above are given.
25
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
1000/m
onth
Review
I=500
80%
800/
Rejected month
30 days/month
Assume the process is stable, and all the figures in the above are given.
What is the average flow time of Process I? 26
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Improvement Suggestions
• Because the % of approved application is fairly low,
an Initial Review Team should be set up to
preprocess all applications according to strict but
fairly mechanical guidelines.
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth month
IIR = 200
Assume the process is stable, and all the figures in the above are given.
28
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth RC = 500/month
month
IIR = 200
Assume the process is stable, and all the figures in the above are given.
29
We can further calculate the throughput as above.
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
30
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth month
IIR = 200
32
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth month
IIR = 200
200
X3 =
1000/𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ
=0.2 month
33
= (0.2) x 30= 6 days
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
25
X4 = =0.1 month
250/𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/month 50% 800/
Review Rejected
RC = 500/month
month
IIR = 200
150
200 X5 = =0.6 month
X3 = 250/𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ
1000/𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ
= (0.6) x 30= 18 days
=0.2 month
34
= (0.2) x 30= 6 days
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
The average flow time (IR & Review A) = 9 days
The average flow time (IR & Review B) = 24 days
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial
1000/month 50% 800/
Review Rejected
RC = 500/month
month
IIR = 200
35
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Average flow time of approval:
The average flow time (IR & Review A) = 9 days 175 25
X6 = x9+ x 24
The average flow time (IR & Review B)= 24 days 200 200
3 days
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial 18 days
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth month
IIR = 200
6 days
36
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
The average flow time (IR & Review A) = 9 days
The average flow time (IR & Review B)= 24 days
3 days
Subgroup B
25% 10%
Review
25%
IB=150
90%
Initial 18 days
1000/m 50% 800/
Review Rejected
onth RC = 500/month
month
IIR = 200
= 11.34 days
(A2) flow time, (A3) Throughput
(A1) essence of
flow rate & in a stable (A4) Little’s Law Exercises
process flow
inventory dyn. process
Exercise II
Auto-Moto – Financial Application Process
1. Considering the average flow time of the whole process, does Process II performs
better than Process I ?
2. Considering the average flow time of approval, does Process II perform better than
Process I ?
38
Process Flow Analysis
39
(B1) Flow Time (B2) Flow Time & (B3) Theoretical Flow (B4) Levers for
Measurement Critical Path Time (TFT) & Waiting managing TFT
3 5
Input Start 1 7 8 End Output
2 4 6
42
(B1) Flow Time (B2) Flow Time & (B3) Theoretical Flow (B4) Levers for
Measurement Critical Path Time (TFT) & Waiting managing TFT
3 5
Input Start 1 7 8 End Output
2 4 6
44
(B1) Flow Time (B2) Flow Time & (B3) Theoretical Flow (B4) Levers for
Measurement Critical Path Time (TFT) & Waiting managing TFT
Flow-time Efficiency
• Flow-time efficiency =
Theoretical _ flow _ time
=
Activity _ time
Average _ flow _ time Activity _ time + Waiting _ time
Industry Process Flow Theoretical Flow –time
time flow time efficiency
1 Life New policy 72 hrs 7 mins 0.16%
insurance application
2 Consumer New graphic 18 days 2 hrs 0.14%
packaging design
3 Commercial Consumer 24 hrs 34 mins 2.35%
bank loan
4 Hospital Patient 10 days 3 hrs 3.75%
billing
5 Auto Financial 11 days 5 hrs 5.68%
manufacture cloasing 45
(B1) Flow Time (B2) Flow Time & (B3) Theoretical Flow (B4) Levers for
Measurement Critical Path Time (TFT) & Waiting managing TFT
47
(C2) Resources & (C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C3) Effect of
Effective Waste &
Measurement Product Mix
Capacity Theoretical Cap.
• Effective capacity
• Capacity utilization
50
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Effective capacity
• Unit load of a resource uniti (Ti)
– Average amount of time required by the resource unit to process one flow
unit, given the way the resource is utilized by the process
Exercise
• Health maintenance organizations (HMOs) provide
their customers with all-inclusive medical service for a
fixed monthly fee.
• To secure services, they contract with physicians and
hospitals that provide their services on a fee/service
basis.
• When members of an HMO receive medical service,
the providing physician or hospital submits a claim to
the HMO for reimbursement.
• Newlife Finance is a service provider to HMOs. For a
small fee, it performs the entire claims processing
operation on behalf of HMO.
52
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
53
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Given the four types of resources, their unit load and no. of units:
Resource Pooli Unit Load No. of units
(mins/claim, in the
Ti) Resource
Pool (ci)
Mailroom clerk 1.00 1
Data-entry clerk 5.00 8
Claims processor 8.00 12
Claims supervisor 2.50 5
54
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
55
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
56
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Capacity Utilization
• Capacity utilization (μi) of Resource Pooli (RPi)
– μi =Throughput/effective capacity of RPi
– Throughputs of all resources are given:
Resource Pool (RP) Throughput (claims/day)
Exercise
Assume 8-hrs per day in the HMO operation.
Resource Pool (RP) Effective Capacity of RPi Capacity Utilization (μi)
(claims/day)
Mailroom clerk 1.00 x 480 = 480 400/480 = 83%
Data-entry clerk 1.60 x 480 = 768 400/768 = 52%
Claims Processor 1.50 x 480 = 720 400/720 = 56%
Claims Supervisor 2.00 x 480 = 960 480/960 = 50%
58
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Optimizing Profitability
Physician claim Hospital claim
Effective Capacity (units/hr) 60 40
Contribution margin ($/unit) $5.00 $6.00
62
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
63
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Theoretical Capacity
• Theoretical unit load of a resource unit
– The minimal amount of time required to process a
flow unit, if all waste were eliminated
– 1/theoretical unit load
• Theoretical capacity of a resource unit
– 1/theoretical unit load
– The maximum sustainable flow rate through the
resource unit, if it were to be utilized w/o any
waste
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
65
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Exercise
• The operating room (a resource unit) of a hospital
specializes in cataract surgery.
• On average, the hospital manages to perform a
surgery every 30 minutes (unit load)
• It is estimated that 33% of the operating room is
scheduled for cleaning, restocking, changeover of
nursing staff, fixing of malfunctioning equipment
and so forth.
What is the theoretical capacity of the room?
66
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
• Capacity requirement
– Estimated by the capacity cushion
Capacity Processing hours required for year’s demand
requirement =
Hours available from a single capacity unit per year,
after deducting desired cushion 67
(C4) Capacity
(C1) Flow Rate (C2) Resources & (C3) Effect of
Waste &
Measurement Effective Capacity Product Mix
Theoretical Cap.
Estimating Capacity
Requirements
Capacity requirements planning has both long- and short-term implications for
a firm's success. In the short term, annual sales numbers are heavily affected by
whether the company is prepared for the regular ups and downs of customer
demand.
Assume each machine can operate 250days/year, 8hrs/day. Given the capacity
cushion C = 15%, estimate the capacity requirement.
Estimating Capacity
Requirements
Assume each machine can operate 250days/year, 8hrs/day.
The annual processing time: N = 250 x 8 = 2000 hrs
70