FNB Disrupt Report
FNB Disrupt Report
1
What’s in this guide?
Introduction / 2
Old Challenges, New Solutions / 6
New Skills Needed to Succeed / 26
The Last Course / 29
Working Capital for F&B / 31
Help Wanted / 34
Tasty Tips from the Pros / 37
Introduction / 1
An Overview of the Singapore F&B scene
While most local SMEs suffer from these symptoms, those in the F&B sector have been
hit particularly hard due to their insatiable appetite for both front-end and backend staff
to support their operations, as well as the need for choice locations to attract traffic.
Despite these daunting obstacles, new cafes, eateries and nightspots continue to
sprout across the island, even as others exit under the weight of high costs and intense
competition.
Singaporeans’ passion for starting businesses related to food, it appears, is as strong
as their love for consuming it. A survey conducted by Sydney-based research firm BIS
Shrapnel showed that the average Singaporean spends $1,900 a year at hawker centres,
restaurants, and cafes.
At the same time, the consumer food service sector in Singapore was valued at S$6.1
billion in 2014, a figure that is estimated to rise to S$7.2 billion by 2018, according to
market intelligence firm Euromonitor International.
A closer look at these restaurants reveals that cafes and bars make up the largest segment
of physical establishments (excluding street stalls and kiosks) (Chart 2).
2 / Introduction
And the appetite for setting up an F&B outlet has not waned. Over the past four years,
the industry has expanded significantly, as the total value and number of establishments
grew 19 per cent and 10 per cent, respectively.
Our analysis of Singstats data shows that the food service industry remains profitable
despite increases in turnover and expenditures.
Based on Euromonitor forecasts for 2014-2018, the industry is expected to grow at a 4.4
per cent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) along with a decline in margins from 6.4
per cent to 5.2 per cent. In the same period, expect a slower expansion in the number of
food outlets to 1.2 per cent CAGR, and a marginal rise in ticket size at 1.6 per cent CAGR
(table 1).
Hard numbers aside, the F&B scene here has also grown in sophistication. Customers
demand not only high quality fare, but also food that is healthier and sourced from
sustainable sources. Industry players have responded, bringing in a host of concepts
catering for increasingly varied tastes.
One trend is the rise of foodservice outlets outside the CBD. People living in the
suburbs now have a myriad of dining options, as independent cafes, bars and restaurants
(both local and international) ride on upcoming residential developments as well as the
previous success of cafe and bar players, and move into these areas.
The health trend is likely to continue too, as more foodservice players take on government
subsidies such as the Healthier Dining Grant. The grant provides subsidies for healthy
menu offerings, and has now been extended from hawker centres to restaurants.
Coupled with rising costs, it is no surprise this health trend has had an impact on fast food
outlets. According to Singstat, they have about 1.7 per cent margins, making them the
least profitable players. This is not likely to change as profitability is expected to slip even
further over the next four years.
More and more tech-savvy consumers mean a number of critical implications for
foodservice players. Players may lose out if they do not use social media to reach
consumers. Singaporeans actively seek out dining spots online and do not mind forking
out more for unique selling points, such as special ingredients and celebrity chefs. F&B
businesses should differentiate their dining experiences – in terms of decor, ambience
and menu offerings – as well as establish an online presence.
Industry players are leaning towards digital too, and are reaping the benefits of going
online. For one, the home delivery and takeaway segment recorded the fastest growth,
at 12.3 per cent CAGR from 2010 to 2014, according to Euromonitor, propelled by third-
party online food delivery platforms, such as Foodpanda.
Introduction / 3
Disrupting the Status Quo
Yet, dig a little deeper and the picture is far from encouraging. While operating receipts
for F&B businesses were up 4.7 per cent in 2013, their operating surplus slipped 1.7 per
cent over the same period, Singstat data showed.
While consumer foodservice remains profitable, margins are likely to be compressed
as revenues fail to keep up with expenditures such as labour, rental and raw materials.
Indeed, these three items make up around 77 per cent of total business costs on average,
according to Singstats: purchases stand at 31 per cent, wages at 29 per cent, and rental
at 17 per cent.
“increases
From our view, competition will stiffen due to
in the number
of players and malls, as well as rising cost
pressures for labour, rental and raw materials. ”
– Andy Sim, Senior Vice President of DBS Group Research.
This view is in line with a DBS BusinessClass survey conducted in April 2015 with F&B
operators, who cited lack of manpower and labour costs as their biggest obstacles to
growth.
Already, the casualties are piling up. Almost half of the 369 cafes, coffee houses and snack
bars that registered their businesses in 2011 had pulled down the shutters by last year,
data from the Accounting and Corporate Regulatory Authority showed.
The good news is that a new generation of F&B startups are turning to disruptive solutions
to overcome the challenges facing them.
Leveraging an explosion of exciting innovation in the global food industry, as well as
tapping on a growing number of local solutions providers, these businesses are fighting
back.
Disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence, data analytics, nutrigenetics,
aeroponics and drones are starting to make their mark on the sector globally. Imagine
an app that uses big data to generate powerful insights for companies regarding time
of consumption, or a platform with over 1 million recipes adapted to specific taste and
nutritional preferences.
These developments have made the food industry sexy again, and put it on the radar of
global investors. Indeed, F&B companies around the world attracted US$1.1 billion in
venture capital in the first half of 2014, up from US$1.6 billion for the entire year of 2013,
according to Dow Jones VentureSource.
Some of these ground breaking solutions are starting to pop up at eateries, cafes and
nightspots across Singapore’s vibrant F&B scene. Operators like Timbre are already
exploring drones at its outlets to boost productivity, while others are crafting out-of-the-
box business models to keep a lid on costs or stand out in a standing-room-only market.
4 / Introduction
Yet, at this point, these firms are the exceptions rather than the norm in Singapore.
Findings from the DBS BusinessClass survey showed that almost all businesses were
actively using social media to boost productivity, but not much else.
Encouragingly, many do say that they are considering the use of robotics and other
automation technologies, a sign that these solutions could become commonplace here in
the coming years.
Introduction / 5
Old Challenges,
New Solutions
6 / Guide to disrupting food & beverage
Challenge #1: Manpower crunch
F&B entrepreneurs are turning to digital technology and robotics to
tackle the problem of a tight labour supply in the service industry.
Tighter manpower policies aim to cut down on companies’ reliance on foreign labour and
to improve productivity. But it also means that the F&B sector, which is hugely dependent
on service staff, is struggling with a manpower crunch and rising labour costs.
The Straits Times reported that job vacancies in the accommodation and food services
sector grew 55 per cent from 5,010 as at Sept 30, 2011, to 7,740 as at Sept 30 last year. Of
these vacancies, some 1,800 waiters, 850 food service counter assistants and 840 cooks
were needed, but most of these jobs had been listed for at least six months.
In turn, this has stifled business and entrepreneurship in the industry. Restaurants such
as Kilo and Wild Rocket have been forced to turn away diners because they lack the
manpower to serve them.
Others are seeking their fortunes overseas instead of locally, because of the severe
manpower shortage and other high business costs. In 2013, the TungLok Group closed
outlets to focus on the operations of its other restaurants, its catering arm and its plan
for overseas expansion.
Last year, the Les Amis Group said that it had no plans to open further outlets here, aside
from three restaurants that were previously committed. Instead, it has set about opening
six restaurants across Southeast Asia.
A recent DBS BusinessClass survey showed that 70% of the respondents in F&B business
thought that Singapore’s manpower shortage was the biggest challenge facing the
industry.
But while the manpower challenge may look dire, the situation is not desperate if
businesses are bold and are unafraid to tackle it head on.
Photo credit:
Infinium Robotics
It may now be the first to use autonomous flying drones. If current tests go well, these
drone runners will take flight at Timbre outlets by the end of the year, says its managing
director Edward Chia.
A meeting with Singapore-based start-up Infinium Robotics CEO Woon Junyang allayed
Chia’s concerns about trays spilling and he realised that using drones in a restaurant was
not a far-fetched fantasy.
Chia said: “When you see it for yourself, then you have more confidence that this is
something that could work. That is why we just took a leap of faith and tried to work it out.
“We are not afraid to be a first adopter. We are not afraid to adopt new ideas. Even with
our iPad menus, we were the first clients too, then other people in the industry started
latching on. Sometimes, it is the first adopter that is crucial, and we performed that role
for the iPad vendors. Hopefully we can do that for (Infinium).”
Mobile first
Mobile technologies that streamline operations – from managing inventory to compiling
payment data – can also allow for better manpower and productivity gains.
For instance, integrated platforms like Mobikon collect data from restaurants, and allow
them to juggle reservations, manage customer loyalty programmes, run campaigns and
channel real-time transactional data straight to their accounting software.
Local tech company TabSquare has four different mobile solutions for F&B businesses.
The SkipQue app, for instance, lets restaurants build their own custom app so they can
easily offer customers mobile and online ordering, payments and loyalty programmes.
Cooking central
Food caterers have an impressive profitability of an estimated 20.1 per cent, compared
to 6.4 per cent for other industry players. This is due to the significant rental cost savings
through centralised kitchen operations and the absence of physical outlets.
Chart 3: Top 4 Business Costs and Margins in Consumer Foodservice, 2013
Other F&B businesses in Singapore have also turned to central kitchens – armed with
cooking robots and machines that can stir fry noodles or create desserts – in part to
resolve their labour woes.
Investing in robotic and automated cooking equipment makes sense especially for larger
companies, such as Select Group, TungLok or BreadTalk. It can help companies grow and
maximise their capabilities, without needing to deal with the manpower crunch.
Char-Grill Bar, for instance, set up a centralised kitchen to boost efficiency, cut down on
the group’s labour requirements as well as to ensure consistency of food quality across all
its 23 outlets.
Though the solution “was forced out” of Char-Grill Bar, owner Fong Chee Cheong has
seen obvious productivity improvements. Training time of staff has been cut down,
processes have been simplified and the transfer of knowledge to its franchises has been
made easier.
S E TTING UP A C E N T R AL KI T C H E N
Houses large
equipment &
CENTRAL
handles major
food processes. KITCHEN
E FFEC TI VE REC RU I TM E N T S T R AT E G Y
5 MONTHS OF TRAINING
For an experienced chef to
manage kitchen and the store
CHEAPER LABOR
15 DAYS OF TRAINING EASIER TO FIND STAFF
for a kitchen helper, thanks to support
given by the central kitchen processes
S C AL I NG THE B U S I N E S S WI T H FR AN C H I S E
CENTRAL
Flagship
KITCHEN
STORE
B Scaling
Franchise Franchise Franchise
Requirements:
High cost to
STORE replecate outlets
C
Individual outlets
Less cost intensive
vary in standards
Central kitchen allows franchisees to
consistently produce quality products
Cinder To be released in 2016, the Cinder Sensing Cooker can cook food remotely
via a smartphone or tablet. Just tap on the app, pick the food and cooking
Sensing method, and Cinder’s smart, cast-iron cooking plates will start searing the
Cooker food evenly.
Meld Meld Knob + Clip which combines a Bluetooth thermometer that is clipped
on to the pot, along with an automated knob that replaces one of the existing
Knob + gas cooker dials. Together with a mobile app, the system automatically and
accurately adjusts the cooker’s temperature, resulting in perfectly cooked
Clip meals.
World’s Eduardo Garcia, the world’s first bionic chef, is the epitome of wearable
tech. The man, who lost his left arm in a hiking accident in 2011, now has a
first prosthetic left arm so advanced, he can still work full time as a private chef
and food company owner.
Bionic It allows his skin and muscles to “respond” to software, so that he can grip in
chef 25 different ways and continue to slice and dice vegetables or fry up steaks.
Last year, he switched from his five-fingered bionic hand to a lightweight and
durable bionic hook, which still allows him to cook; the hook is detachable
so that he can even fit in a spoon or whisk if he has to.
While Eduardo continues to fulfill his childhood dream of being a chef, his
real vision, however, is to create the perfect wearable prosthetic for the
kitchen, with truly high-tech features such as built-in knife sharpeners,
screens that display bacteria warnings and temperature sensors.
Photo credit:
The Coffee Bandits
Paying the rent is probably one of the least-liked tasks of any entrepreneur. That probably
goes double for those in the F&B sector in Singapore, where sky-high property values and
fierce competition for prime real estate is taking its toll on the bottom line.
While the growth in retail rental rates have eased in recent quarters as new supply comes
online and tenants resist further hikes, this is likely to be offset by new entrants into the
market.
A report by real estate consultancy Colliers International noted that in Q1 2015, “the F&B
scene continued to be abuzz with activities, with new restaurants and eateries opening
both in conventional malls and non-mall locations – such as shophouses, commercial
spaces within HDB estates and the ancillary retail space of commercial buildings.”
Finding the right location has long been a key competitive advantage for any F&B
business, particularly those at the premium end of the market. Not being in the right place
can adversely affect traffic into the establishment and impact revenues, even as steep
rental costs squeeze margins.
While delivery services have long brought food and drink to the customer’s doorstep,
these have largely been an extension of traditional brick-and-mortar businesses, or
limited to a handful of fast-food operators.
Case study
The Coffee Bandits
When corporate warriors Jessica Chow and Cheryl Ong became mothers a few
years ago, they used it as an opportunity to take a step away from the rat race and
indulge in their twin passions of food and entrepreneurship.
They partnered up to form The Coffee Bandits, which had a simple premise: to
bring good coffee to places in Singapore that do not have it. So, they decided to
start a food truck business, which was still a new concept in Singapore.
They believed that a food truck would allow them to reach markets brimming with
eager consumers but with little competition, even as they avoided the hassle, and
costs, of a physical location. And it gave them the flexibility to switch locations to
capitalise on changing market dynamics.
However, getting their idea off the ground proved to be a much tougher proposition
than they first envisioned. As the concept of a food truck was new here, many of the
local government agencies were not equipped with the guidelines to regulate it.
What ensued was a nine-month game of pinball with government agencies to get all
the necessary licences and permits in place.
“There were a lot of grey areas about who should be overseeing what. So there
were many chicken and egg situations. But we eventually got it done,” said Chow.
The next challenge was getting their truck fitted out for an F&B operation. With no
benchmark to follow, the entrepreneurs designed the interiors of the vehicle based
on what they thought would work. Not surprisingly, there was much trial and error
before they struck the right formula.
The Coffee Bandits finally hit the road in September last year, visiting industrial
and business parks in far-flung areas such as Seletar Aeropark, Jurong West and
Jurong Island. Business has been brisk since day one, as customers flocked to their
menu of premium cafe fare – such as the popular pulled pork sandwich – and, of
course, good steaming cups of coffee. The team keeps their customers aware of
their locations through social media.
With their mobility and self-contained kitchens, The Coffee Bandits food truck has
also proven popular for private events, and they have seen increasing demand from
that segment of the market.
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18 / Old Challenges, New Solutions
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Old Challenges, New Solutions / 19
Challenge #3: Securing Food Supply
A BRAVE NEW MENU
New solutions to growing food shortages around the world could
have big implications for the F&B sector.
Even as many F&B businesses battle with soaring costs and hard to come by employees,
more progressive players are looking further up the value chain at new food sources
coming down stream.
This has become increasingly urgent as the world faces critical food shortages in the
future. Research shows that by 2050, the world is predicted to require 85 per cent more
staple food crops than were produced in 2013. Meanwhile, demand for meat is expected
to increase by more than two-thirds and current production methods are not sustainable,
according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
F&B players must therefore consider alternative sources of food to manage rising costs as
a result of shortages, and to maintain the quality of their offerings.
This is especially pertinent to larger operators whose growing footprint requires a
growing supply of quality raw materials to ensure that quality remains consistent across
their various outlets.
Sakae Sushi founder and chairman Douglas Foo, for instance, has stepped back from the
day-to-day running of his international, 200 plus-outlet Sushi restaurant chain to focus
on a few key strategic areas – one of them involves securing a long-term supply of fresh
seafood that is a core ingredient of the brand’s offerings.
In an interview with The Business Times last year, the entrepreneur revealed that he
scours the world looking for new food resources to support the planned growth of the
brand globally, or in his own words, to “future proof” his business. Sakae Sushi’s 40-odd
outlets in Singapore alone consume around 30 to 40 tonnes of salmon a month, he reveals.
The cells grow into strands that are combined to create the meat. In 2013, Professor Mark
Post of Maastricht University unveiled the world’s first in-vitro burger made up of around
20,000 such strands. The burger was made with a little egg powder and breadcrumbs and
a few other common burger ingredients.
While the cost of that first burger cost a whopping US$325,000, Prof Post recently told
ABC News that it is possible to produce lab-grown beef for as little as US$80 a kilogram
today, and that it will be priced competitively to the real thing within a few years. He noted
that one could produce 10,000 kilograms of meat from a small piece of muscle.
University of Oxford research also suggested that producing in-vitro beef could use as
much as 99 per cent less space than what is needed for current livestock farming methods.
Salmon on Steroids
While genetically modified (GM) crops have been around for over two decades, the world is
still waiting for the first GM livestock to be approved. Hopes are high among advocates of the
controversial food type that this could finally happen this year.
GM Atlantic salmon has been developed by US company AquaBounty, and is currently
awaiting approval by US regulators – a wait that has lasted 20 years. The company submitted
its application to market the salmon way back in 1995, but it was not until 2012 that the US
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued a Finding of No Significant Impact – the last hurdle
before approval.
AquaBounty Scientists took a growth hormone regulating gene from a Pacific Chinook salmon
and inserted it into an Atlantic salmon. The resulting fish grows all year round, rather than
just during spring and summer. It also grows to market size in 16 to 18 months, rather than
the usual three years. This accelerated growth means shorter production cycles, resulting in a
more efficient use of feed.
“The impact on global food production is potentially enormous,” said Ron Scottish, AquaBounty’s
chief executive, in a recent interview with BBC. “It is identical to all other Atlantic salmon: it
looks the same, it tastes the same. The only thing it does different is grow faster.”
But GM food remains a contentious issue. In April this year, U.S.-based Mexican food chain
Chipotle announced that it would no longer serve food with genetically modified organisms.
Payment integration
On the back office front, integrated business-to-business platforms like Mobikon collect
data from restaurants, and allow them to juggle reservations, manage customer loyalty
programmes, run campaigns and even channel real-time transactional data straight to
their accounting software.
Easing payment friction is a key benefit for many players in the US because of the
increasing popularity of mobile payment platforms like Apple Pay and Google Wallet,
which are convenient and easy to use. Smartphone and smart watch users link up their
credit or debit card to these payment features, then pay for items with a simple tap of
their gadget on the register.
This growing phenomenon explains why a number of new American startups are
focusing on mobile dining payments. They are now creating apps that allow diners to
pay for their meals with their smartphones – not with cash or card, or even a tap at the
register.
This “Uber-isation” of restaurant payments, named after the popular ride-sharing
service, makes getting the bill a whole lot easier for diners. These apps also allow
for better customer relationship management, including collection and analysis of
customer data as well as customer loyalty programmes.
PaidEasy, a new app using Apple’s iBeacon technology that is in Beta testing in New
York, lets customers pay for meals with the app as well as gives additional security
by encrypting their credit card so their details remain private. The app integrates
seamlessly with a merchant’s existing point-of-sale system, and does not require
additional steps or hardware.
Pay with OpenTable is a more established player in the mobile dining payment scene.
The app now aims to be a one-stop shop of sorts for restaurants with its integrated
functionality, letting diners book a reservation and pay for their meals within the app.
The service is due to be available throughout the US by the end of the year.
Channel surfing
In the retail world, the online and physical worlds are colliding as
e-commerce players add a physical presence to offer a true multi-
channel experience to their customers. Likewise, F&B players must
be omnipresent to their customers, whether they are online using
an app to decide what to eat next, or across a variety of physical
platforms – whether it is from a food truck, delivered to their
doorsteps or at temporary pop-up location.
With competition for prime real estate unlikely to ease up anytime
soon, being fleet-footed will be a major advantage.
ONLINE/MOBILE
RESERVATION
AND ORDERS
WORKING CAPITAL
FOR F&B
Guide to disrupting food & beverage / 31
What is working capital and why is its management critical
to new F&B businesses? Are there any best practices in
optimising working capital?
Stanley Tan, Head of the Working Capital Team in DBS Bank, answers
these questions.
1/ For new F&B businesses, could you explain what working
capital is, and why its management is important?
Working Capital involves financing the day-to-day operations for a business. It
is linked to the company’s business model and supply chain. In the F&B space,
they are two broad business models: Retail (selling to consumers), and B2B
(business-to-business).
For F&B retail, working capital would include payments received from
customers, the amount of inventory/food ingredients it keeps on hand, as well
as its payment cycle to suppliers.
For B2B, this includes payments from buyers (e.g., restaurants), inventory (e.g.,
food ingredients to manufacture packaged foods), and payments to suppliers.
Working capital management is critical as it is linked to liquidity/cash flow.
Businesses need to ensure there is sufficient cash for operations; for new
businesses in particular, there is a need to ensure sufficient cash reserves to
tide through the start-up period.
ACE-NUS
Businesses looking for formal training in entrepreneurship or scouting for apprentices
can turn to this new tie-up between the Action Community for Entrepreneurship (ACE)
and the National University of Singapore (NUS) Business School.
Unveiled in April, this two-year initiative aims to conduct research on issues facing
startups and facilitate apprenticeship opportunities for university students. ACE and NUS
will also jointly host a range of master classes on entrepreneurship, and hold conferences
between industry leaders and members of academia. ACE is a private-led entity run by
entrepreneurs and investors.
Help Wanted / 35
IV/ Design Innovation
DesignSingapore Council
Good design can be a key competitive advantage in a crowded market. The Design
Innovation Assistance (DIA) scheme aims to support Singapore enterprises in adopting
design for service innovation.
This initiative by DesignSingapore Council aims to enhance business competitiveness as
well as create differentiated experiences, better products and brand retention.
V/ Government Subsidies
The Singapore Government offers many forms of technical and financial assistance
schemes through various agencies, many of which can be applied to the F&B sector.
SPRING Singapore
The lead agency for supporting local enterprises rolled out about 12,000 projects in 2014
to help SMEs deal with rising business costs and labour constraints.
SPRING Singapore offers a multitude of assistance schemes including the Capability
Development Grant, which can provide subsides up to 70 per cent of cost when applied
to 10 areas, including brand development, service excellence and human capital
development.
36 / Help Wanted
Edward Chia,
Co-Founder & Managing Director,
Timbre Group
Cynthia Chua,
Founder of the Spa Esprit Group, which owns
several Food and Beverage outlets such as
Skinny Pizza, 40 Hands Cafe and House
Andre Chiang,
Chef-Owner of Restaurant ANDRE
Dennis Foo,
Former CEO of Nightlife and F&B
Conglomerate St James Holdings
Vincent Tan,
Managing Director of Singapore-listed food
service provider Select Group
2/ Give Everything
“Once we decide to do something, then we make sure to put our heart and soul into
developing something. Often enough, it takes a lot of willpower to see through new
technologies, systems or ideas, because there are always going to be unforeseen obstacles
or roadblocks.”
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