Ambisyon Natin 2040 and the

Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022: Climate

Change Mitigation and Adaptation and Disaster
Risk Reduction Strategies

Presented by: Assistant Secretary Mercedita A. Sombilla

Multi-stakeholder Consultation Forum for the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)

18 July 2017, Senator Recto Room, Senate of the Philippines

Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century
• Asia will nearly double its share
of global GDP to over 50%.
• Asia’s per capita income will
107,600
rise six-fold from 2010 to 2050
and will exceed the global
average 66,700

• 7 economies will lead Asia’s 47,800

41,700
march to prosperity (South 37,400
33,800
Korea, Japan, China, India, 26,900
22,900
22,700
Indonesia, Malaysia and
Thailand)
• The Philippines will be
overtaken by India and Viet
Nam; will be in the company of Figure 1: Projections of Per Capita GDP (constant 2010 PPP) of Selected Asian Economies in 2050
Source of basic data: ADB Publication – Asia 2050
Mongolia and Cambodia.
• A long-term (25 years) vision of Filipinos.
• It is a vision, NOT a plan.
• An anchor for development planning across
administrations (Executive Order No. 5)
• A guide for engaging with international
development partners.

3
Vision of the Filipinos for themselves
“In 2040, we will all enjoy a stable and comfortable lifestyle, secure in the
knowledge that we have enough for our daily needs and unexpected expenses,
that we can plan and prepare for our own and our children’s future. Our family
lives together in a place of our own, and we have the freedom to go where we
desire, protected and enabled by a clean, efficient, and fair government."

Vision of the Filipinos for their country

“The Philippines shall be a country where all citizens are free from
hunger and poverty, have equal opportunities, enabled by fair and just
society that is governed with order and unity. A nation where families
live together, thriving in vibrant, culturally diverse, and resilient
communities.”
Per capita GNI
• GNI may increase by a
multiple of 4.5 by 2040, Weak growth scenario Observed GNIpc Strong growth scenario

which translates into per 13,000

capita income of $11,000, 11,000

9,000

bringing the country to 7,000

close to a high-income 5,000

3,000

economy status. 1,000

2001

2019

2037
1995
1997
1999

2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017

2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035

2039
Source: R.Clarete, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in the Philippines, unpublished manuscript.
Poverty
• The speed of poverty reduction
would depend on the depend Scenarios of Eradicating Poverty, Philippines, 2015 – 2040 (%)
both on the robustness of
Weak income growth, GINI rising at .22% yearly
economic growth as well as on 0.3
Weak income growth, Gini reduced by 3% yearly
how it is distributed across 0.25
Strong income growth, GINI rising by .22% yearly

income groups. 0.2 Strong income growth, Gini reduced by 3% yearly

Poverty Index
0.15

0.1

0.05

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2027

2029

2031

2033

2035

2037

2039
Source: R.Clarete, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in the Philippines,
unpublished manuscript

6
From vision to action
Long-term Developmental Goals

By 2040, Philippines will be:

• A prosperous, predominantly
middle-class society where no one is
poor;
2035-
2040 • A healthy and resilient society;
2029- • A smart and innovative society, and
2034 • A high trust society.
2023-
2028
2017-
2022
Overall Strategic Framework

20
Overall Strategic Framework and Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)

2040 MATATAG, MAGINHAWA AT PANATAG NA BUHAY

TO LAY DOWN THE FOUNDATION FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH, A HIGH-TRUST AND RESILIENT SOCIETY, AND A GLOBALLY-COMPETITIVE
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
2022

“MALASAKIT” “PAGBABAGO”
“PATULOY NA PAG-UNLAD”
ENHANCING THE SOCIAL FABRIC INEQUALITY-REDUCING TRANSFORMATION
INCREASING GROWTH POTENTIAL

Ensure people-centered, clean, and efficient Expand Increase access Advance

governance Stimulate
economic to economic opportunities technology
innovation
opportunities adoption

Pursue swift and fair administration of justice IMPLEMENT STRATEGIC TRADE AND FISCAL POLICY, MAINTAIN MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, AND PROMOTE COMPETITION

Promote Philippine culture and awareness

Accelerate Reduce vulnerability of Reach for demographic
human capital individuals dividend
development

Ensure peace and security Accelerate strategic infrastructure Ensure safety and build resilience Ensure ecological integrity, clean and
development healthy environment
CC and DRR Strategies to Contribute in the
Achievement of the NDC
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 3: An overlay of economic growth, demographic trends
and physical characteristics
• National Spatial Strategy

Chapter 5: Ensure a People-centered, Clean, Efficient and

Effective Governance
• Develop adaptive capacity of the public sector to anticipate risks from natural hazards and
climate change impacts
• Strengthen inter-agency coordination and linkages

Chapter 8: Expand economic opportunities in agriculture,

fisheries and forestry
• Accelerate construction of climate-resilient small-scale irrigation systems and retrofit existing systems
• Continue promotion of climate change adaptation practices
• Account climate and disaster resilience in transport network design
• Develop climate- and disaster-responsive technologies and innovations
• Improve awareness and access to credit and insurance
• Enhance capacity of small farmers and fisherfolk to adopt better and new technologies
• Strengthen the extension system for the promotion of good farming and fishery practices
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 9: Expand economic opportunities in Industry and Services
• Provide incentives for green manufacturing to improve the adoption of energy efficient technologies
• Fully implement the Green Jobs Act to promote green growth, blue economy and innovation
• Increase access of MSMEs and cooperatives to innovative, appropriate and cost-effective
technologies
• Set up a National Quality Infrastructure system as a legislative agenda to harmonize standardization,
metrology, testing analysis, quality management, certification, and accreditation

Chapter 10: Accelerate human capital development

• Provide quality health service to climate change and disaster related illness
• Continue curricular reforms with emphasis on topics related to CC and disaster
preparedness

Chapter 11: Reduce the vulnerability of individuals and families

• Nationwide rollout of climate vulnerability assessment and climate/disaster risk
assessment
• Develop facilities for adaptation including risk transfer mechanisms
• Provide adequate transition houses and livelihood opportunities to disaster victims during
the early rehabilitation and recovery period
• Capacity development of local planners to multi-scenario analysis and climate change
projections
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 12: Build safe and secure communities
• Ensure compliance of physical infrastructure, particularly on housing and human
settlements with DRRM and CCA requirements to mitigate risks and vulnerability

Chapter 14: Leverage science, technology and innovation

• Develop capabilities and maximize the use of core and emerging technologies that
include both climate change adaptation and mitigation
• Establish and promote innovation hubs on climate change
• Intensify international cooperation in STI such as in climate change

Chapter 15: Sustain a stable, sound, and supportive

macroeconomic environment
• Encourage and support innovation in export-oriented industries through investments
including state-of-the-art climate-resilient technologies
• Develop and implement policies to ensure business continuity and mitigate disaster
risks to businesses and enterprises
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 19: Infrastructure Development
Consider DRR and CCA strategies to ensure climate
resilient infrastructure facilities
Energy
• Expedite the implementation of remaining policy mechanisms
under the Renewable Energy (RE) Act of 2008
• Harmonize the transmission development plan with RE targets
• Encourage RE development in missionary areas
• Strictly monitor compliance to the DOE DC 2015-07-014, Guidelines for Maintaining the
Share of Renewable Energy in the Country, and DC 2015-03-0001, Promulgating the
Framework for the Implementation of Must Dispatch and Priority Dispatch of Renewable
Energy Resources in the WESM
• Continue the implementation of the energy efficiency and conservation (EEC) program
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 19: Infrastructure Development
Transport
• Maximize the use of DPWH Design Guidelines, Criteria
and Standards 2015, which incorporates resilient design
• Strictly implement the Green Building Code
• Implement road-based transport initiatives, such as environmentally sustainable urban transport
systems
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 19: Infrastructure Development
Social
• Provide secure tenure in affordable, safe and disaster-resilient
housing, especially for the unprivileged and homeless families
CC Adaptation and Mitigation and DRR Strategies
Chapter 20: Ecological Integrity Ensured and Socio-economic
Conditions of Resource-based Communities Improved Through
Sustainable Integrated Area Development
• Sustain the rehabilitation of degraded forestlands including
reforestation efforts
• Biodiversity Conservation
• Identify technological and research priorities and capacity needs
for low carbon development
• Promote environmentally-sustainable transport
• Promote climate-smart structures and designs
• Develop database to measure emission reduction per sector
• Promote sustainable consumption and production
Legislations to Facilitate the Implementation
of the NDC
A. Institutional
1. Passage of the National Land Use Act (NaLUA)
2. Land Administration Reform
3. Amendments to Disaster Risk Reduction Management Act
4. Integration of new policies on disaster preparedness, response, mitigation/prevention and
rehabilitation/recovery
5. Amendments to Water Code
6. Amend the Revised Charter of the PCIC Act of 1995 (RA 8175, as well as other relevant
laws)

B. Environmental Protection and Management

1. Philippine Environmental Assessment System
2. Delineation of Specific Forest Limits
3. Comprehensive Forestry Law
4. Integrated Coastal Management Strategy
5. Expanded National Protected Area System
6. Electronic wastes recycling
7. Amendments to RA 6969: Toxic Substances and Hazardous and
Nuclear Waste Control
C. Infrastructure
1. Enactment of a National Transport Policy
2. Enactment of Law Creating an Independent Body for Transport
Safety and Security
3. Enactment of a Law on Energy Efficiency and Conservation
4. Set up a National Quality Infrastructure system
5. Enactment of Law Declaring Energy Projects as Projects of
National Significance

D. Disaster Preparedness
1. Evacuation Center Act
2. Mandatory establishment of women- and child-
friendly spaces in all evacuation centers in the
country
THANK YOU

Presented by: Assistant Secretary Mercedita A. Sombilla

[email protected] or &[email protected]

18 July 2017, Senator Recto Room, Senate of the Philippines