Note to TrendLiners:� I am flattered beyond words to relate that this past Autumn 54% of our visitors were Int'l (representing 96 nations ~ most from USA, UK, Australia, France,� Germany, Finland, Netherlands, Japan, Belgium & Italy) ... much Thanx!!�� FreddyH>

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Riding Projections Nfld&Lab MHA's - 2007 Canada MP's - 2009 Ontario MPP's - 2007 Quebec MNA's - 2007 Yukon MLA's - 2006 Canada 2006 Canada 2004 United Kingdom Australian 2007

USA Electoral College Projection Race for the Whitehouse 2004

Popular Opinion Charts Newfoundland 2007 Yukon 2006

Yukon Politically Incorrect Blog Freddy's Politically Incorrect Blog

Misc Features Site Index About TrendLines Polling

�Pakistan National Assembly 2008 Election Projection

���MP Seat Projection for 2010 UK General Election for the House of Commons

�Race for the Kremlin 2008 Projection (top 10 contenders & 3 Run-Offs)

�MP Riding Projection for Federal (Canada) 2009 Elections

�MPP Seat Projection for 2007 Ontario Provincial Election (since Sept 18th, Momentum indicates a Liberal Majority is Inevitable

Seat Projection for Nov 24th 2007� Australian Federal Election:

Sunday Dec 16� 5pm (oztime) Update to above chart:� TrendLines Count Projection - � Coalition 65,� 2 Indies;� Labour 83 (with max upside potential of 85)

William Bowe & Andrew Leigh looking brilliant thus far ... 3 seats still in doubt with a 94% count.� Scroll down to see how each of the 9 Seat Projection pundits fared.� We have a scoreboard below!

Above, the Nov 24 chart pre-Election status of 88/60/2 (and all figures since the 2004 Election) are the compiled avg of available recognized Riding Projections.� Each projection model has its own methodology of converting polling/canvassing data to estimates of winnable Seats by the Parties.��The final "today" conversion is based on all 9 prediction models and their analysis of recognized polling/canvassing completed Nov 1 - 23.

Nov 21� 2007:� As the campaign winds down, it's again time to bring out our Scoreboard.� While there are lotsa predictions floating around, membership is limited to those who provided regular Seat number crunching guidance during the current Campaign.� Please hit me with an email if i missed a recognized player or made an error.� Honourable mention to Antony Green for providing many of the models with his Seat Calculator!� And my thanx to all...

Nov 24� 2007� 10am:� To prevent the advantage of exit polling taints, we've shut down the grid.� It's up to the voters now...

Nov 17� 2007:� Little movement in the latter stages.� Voters have seen the Debate and perused the platforms.� Now they pause & reflect at the edge of the precipice...

Nov 13� 2007:� Folks from the land down under comprise our 5th largest audience of TrendLiners and so it was with great pleasure that we introduced this weekly tracking of the Australian Federal Election set for Nov 24th.

The Australian Parliament has a 150-seat House of Representatives with half the members seeking re-election every three years.� The 76-seat Senate has 40 members seeking office next week.� Prime Minister John Howard presently leads a coalition of the Liberal Party & National Party, having 87 seats in the H-of-R & 39 in the Senate.� Kevin Rudd leads the Labor Party with its 60 members and is poised to gain victory next Saturday in the compulsory vote.

Our 2007 projections are based on a blending of 8 Seat Projection Models (by William Bowe, Peter Brent, Simon Jackman, Geoff Lambert, Andrew Leigh, Malcolm Mackerras, Bryan Palmer & Kevin "Possum" & "Aristotle" ... all who do stellar work for little recognition).� Their studies involve the conversion of sentiment revealed in Canvassing and/or published national/regional Public Opinion Poll data (with avg 3% margin of error) into Projections of how many members each Party would win at the time the data was taken (not Election Day).

Over 50 post-2004 Election polls have been crunched by some of the models for the pre-Campaign tallies; Most of the models' conversions apply the Election Calculator designed by Antony Green.� Please note that fine tuning of the models sometimes affects older figures on the chart and several chart values have been deleted for clarity.� Only the Yukon Projection includes direct polling by TrendLines.� Scroll around or use the menu for our "Race for the Kremlin", Canadian Federal, Ontario, Newfoundland/Labrador, Quebec, Yukon, UK & "Race for the Whitehouse" projections.

Note to TrendLiners:� I am flattered beyond words to relate that this past Autumn 54% of our visitors were Int'l (representing 96 nations ~ most from USA, UK, Australia, France,� Germany, Finland, Netherlands, Japan, Belgium & Italy) ... much Thanx!!�� FreddyH>